Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-09-07 17:36 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 6–4 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 55.44%1.80odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%55.31%55.44%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.731.721.7760.24%57.96%58.14%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 44.56%2.24odd justa
EV -0.638%
Vantagem -0.286%
Kelly -0.519%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%44.69%44.56%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.142.2350.00%46.84%46.73%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 55.44%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 44.56%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.23, com valor esperado de -0.638%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.87%E -1.05%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.97%E -0.898%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 15:18
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.08%E -0.488%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-07 16:39
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.53%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 17:15
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.53%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-07 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:19
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.42%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.638%E -0.286%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-07 17:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 13:24
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.97%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.89%E -5.44%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:23
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -1.53%E -0.692%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 14:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-07 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:19
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 17:19
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.76%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-07 17:19
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:35
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:19
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:34
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.08%E -2.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:34
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 17:25
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.87%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:30
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:08
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.65%E -2.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 17:33
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 17:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -5.98%E -2.84%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -7.96%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -8.21%E -3.99%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 17:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-09-07 17:33
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-09-07 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-09-07 17:35
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-09-07 17:35
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-07 17:35
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-07 17:30
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-07 17:35
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-09-07 17:35
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-09-07 17:15