Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-09-04 23:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 0–1 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 47.80%2.09odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.505%
Kelly -0.977%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.78%47.78%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.881.992.002.0753.19%50.22%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 52.20%1.92odd justa
EV -0.828%
Vantagem -0.436%
Kelly -0.920%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%52.22%52.22%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.56%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 47.80%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 52.20%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -0.828%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.05%E -0.505%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.52%E -0.740%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.52%E -0.740%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 05:00
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.87%E -0.996%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 19:58
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 12:34
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-04 02:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.66%E -4.95%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.48%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.48%E -1.22%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 12:55
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.828%E -0.436%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 13:29
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 12:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.91%E -1.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 02:05
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:29
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:14
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:34
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:28
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 20:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 07:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 07:24
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.00%E -2.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 07:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.83%E -2.96%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.53%E -3.05%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:13
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.96%E -2.15%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 13:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.39%E -1.28%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 07:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 07:35
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.05%E -3.36%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.44%E -1.86%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.48%E -2.45%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -6.57%E -3.67%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-09-04 14:10
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-04 01:40
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-09-04 14:20