Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-09-03 23:15 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 5–6 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Previsão 47.68%2.10odd justa
EV +0.128%
Vantagem +0.061%
Kelly +0.116%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.45%47.68%47.71%49.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.22%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 52.32%1.91odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.871%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.66%52.32%52.29%54.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.8857.14%54.52%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Baltimore Orioles (Local): 47.68%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 52.32%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.097. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.128%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.128%E +0.061%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 22:30
Caesars🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.30%E -0.629%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 20:43
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.30%E -0.629%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-03 21:29
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.30%E -0.629%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 13:15
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-03 23:05
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.16%E -1.16%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-03 22:55
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 22:35
Everygame🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 22:59
BetAnything🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.26%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.26%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.26%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.44%E -4.82%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 13:30
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.73%E -2.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:55
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 19:50
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.69%E -1.83%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.35%E -3.55%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:05
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 19:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:10
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:05
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:00
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 23:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 23:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 23:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.12%E -2.57%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:00
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.59%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.78%E -2.62%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.59%E -2.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 23:09
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.55%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.73%E -2.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.55%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.16%E -1.16%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 20:45
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.24%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 23:03
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.50%E -3.87%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.50%E -3.87%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.50%E -3.87%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.50%E -3.87%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.50%E -3.87%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.39%E -4.18%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 23:09
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.64%E -0.871%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.16%E -1.16%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.21%E -1.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -5.30%E -2.93%K -6.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-09-03 23:10
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Novig◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-09-03 23:10
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-03 22:55
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-09-03 23:10
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-09-03 23:10
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-09-03 23:10