La escuela de los momios

Baltimore Orioles v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-07-24 23:06 UTC

Final: Baltimore Orioles 6–7 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Predicción 54.63%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.52%54.68%54.67%56.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.7958.82%57.11%57.14%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 45.37%2.20momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.525%
Kelly +0.951%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%45.32%45.33%46.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.102.102.2349.50%47.62%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +1.17%E +0.525%K +0.951%G +0.011%2.0%2026-07-24 22:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +1.17%E +0.525%K +0.951%G +0.011%2.0%2026-07-24 22:54
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV +0.262%E +0.119%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-24 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV +0.262%E +0.119%K +0.217%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-24 22:55
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.645%E -0.294%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-24 22:25
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 19:45
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:55
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.01%E -0.929%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 21:55
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 23:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:45
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 21:49
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 23:04
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:10
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.37%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 21:55
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 23:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 23:00
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 21:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 23:00
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 21:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 19:05
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 19:45
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:39
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 21:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:55
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 21:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 19:50
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.18%E -2.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 23:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 22:55
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 21:50
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:00
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:00
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 23:00
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:55
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:55
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 21:50
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 23:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 20:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 19:05
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 22:59
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 22:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.58%E -3.85%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 22:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 23:05
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-07-24 23:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-24 23:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-24 23:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-07-24 23:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-24 23:05
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%4.6%2026-07-24 23:04