Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 22:36 UTC

Score final : Baltimore Orioles 9–7 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Baltimore Orioles (Local)

Prévision 54.29%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.652%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%54.21%54.26%56.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.751.8358.82%56.87%57.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.71%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.565%
Avantage +0.257%
Kelly +0.471%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.88%45.79%45.74%48.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.2051.28%47.77%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Baltimore Orioles (Local) : 54.29% ; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur) : 45.71%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.19. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.20, soit une espérance positive de +0.565%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV +0.565%E +0.257%K +0.471%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-13 18:39
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.26%E -0.585%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:35
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.29%EV -1.74%E -0.960%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.71%EV -1.72%E -0.800%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-13 22:20
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.72%E -0.800%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-13 13:10
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.72%E -0.800%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.82%E -1.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-13 22:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.18%E -1.02%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 22:35
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.74%E -0.960%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.63%E -1.24%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-13 22:25
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.652%E -0.356%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -3.09%E -1.46%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-13 22:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.09%E -1.46%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.09%E -1.46%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.55%E -1.68%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 22:30
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 05:30
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 03:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 22:04
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 18:50
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:15
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 21:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 21:19
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 21:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 21:19
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 21:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 02:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 03:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.62%E -3.85%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.71%E -4.53%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.01%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 19:40
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.46%E -2.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 10:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:05
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.38%E -2.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.91%E -2.21%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.54%E -3.18%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.08%E -3.51%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.29%E -3.07%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 14:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.28%E -1.27%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.37%E -1.89%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.45%E -2.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.99%E -2.85%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.58%E -4.29%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 22:23
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.652%E -0.356%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.86%E -5.57%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 54.05%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.95%-1.1%2026-04-13 22:34
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-04-13 22:35
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-13 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-04-13 22:35
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-13 22:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-13 22:20
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.2%2026-04-13 22:35
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-04-13 22:35