L’École des cotes

Atlanta Braves v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 20:11 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Braves 0–2 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 60.37%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.983%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.05%60.29%60.39%61.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.29%63.69%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.63%2.52cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.75%39.71%39.61%40.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.422.432.4842.92%41.33%41.15%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -1.60%E -0.983%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -6.86%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 18:39
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -1.71%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 17:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -2.11%E -0.853%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 20:09
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 19:59
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-23 15:29
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -1.71%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.11%E -0.853%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -2.11%E -0.853%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:09
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-23 20:09
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 15:29
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.81%E -1.74%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.66%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 18:49
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.09%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 17:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 17:20
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:08
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 20:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.41%E -2.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.86%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 14:39
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 17:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 14:29
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 14:29
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.02%E -2.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 17:19
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 18:18
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 14:19
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -3.69%E -1.52%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 17:09
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:19
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:19
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.62%E -2.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 16:18
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 14:39
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:19
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 14:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 16:19
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 17:19
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 14:49
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 15:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.86%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.33%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.86%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 20:00
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 16:49
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 14:19
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.83%E -3.74%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.86%E -2.92%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 14:49
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.90%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.43%E -4.15%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.88%E -2.03%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 14:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.64%E -4.99%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.67%E -2.38%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-05-23 20:00
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-05-23 20:00
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-23 14:29
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-23 15:29
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%3.1%2026-05-23 20:09