La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-06-03 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 7–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.48%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.00%57.51%57.40%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.32%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 42.52%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.938%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.705%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.49%42.60%44.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3347.62%44.22%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 22:30
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 01:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 21:29
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.79%E -0.774%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 23:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.79%E -0.774%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 23:10
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 20:19
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 23:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 22:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.91%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 23:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:09
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:49
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 20:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 22:50
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.76%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 20:49
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:09
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:50
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-02 20:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 20:36
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:49
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:49
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 22:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-06-03 23:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-02 23:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-02 22:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-03 23:10