Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-06-03 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 7–3 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 57.48%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.996%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.00%57.51%57.40%58.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.32%60.61%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 42.52%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.938%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.705%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%42.49%42.60%44.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3347.62%44.22%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Braves (Local): 57.48%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 42.52%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.35. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.33, con un valor esperado de -0.938%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-03 22:30
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.70%E -0.996%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -2.64%E -1.15%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 01:10
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-03 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.79%E -0.774%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.79%E -0.774%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-03 23:10
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-02 20:19
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.85%E -1.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:20
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-03 21:49
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.43%E -2.04%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.91%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 22:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 23:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.00%E -2.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -0.938%E -0.402%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-03 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.76%E -2.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:50
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.58%E -2.76%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-02 20:00
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 20:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 22:49
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 20:49
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.15%E -3.12%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.72%E -5.10%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.73%E -3.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-03 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.30%E -3.87%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.88%E -4.24%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-03 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.03%E -5.02%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-03 22:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-06-03 23:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-06-03 22:50
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 22:40
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-02 23:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-02 22:30
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-06-03 23:10