La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Toronto Blue Jays

Inicio: 2026-06-04 23:20 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 2–7 Toronto Blue Jays

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 69.19%1.45momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -5.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.08%69.12%69.20%70.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.381.381.4174.07%72.55%72.46%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Predicción 30.81%3.25momio equitativo
EV +0.145%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%30.88%30.80%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.2534.48%32.23%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.145%E +0.045%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 22:09
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +0.145%E +0.045%K +0.065%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 22:10
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -0.163%E -0.050%K -0.073%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-04 22:50
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.48%EV -2.45%E -1.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.52%EV -1.09%E -0.339%K -0.492%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-04 21:49
theScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%EV -2.45%E -1.74%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-04 22:39
Everygame1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-04 15:39
BetAnything1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 22:49
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 15:39
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 15:40
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.40%E -0.436%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 15:40
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-04 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 21:09
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 21:09
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 18:09
Caesars1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.94%E -0.932%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 15:35
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 69.16%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -3.24%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 22:09
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.09%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.91%EV -3.55%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-04 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:40
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 16:10
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 22:19
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.83%E -2.76%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 22:19
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 21:30
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:09
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 16:29
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:39
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:40
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 19:59
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 18:09
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 20:40
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 20:40
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 18:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 16:30
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 20:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.60%E -4.89%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.48%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 15:50
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.40%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 16:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 16:30
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 18:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.02%E -1.97%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 18:09
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 16:09
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 16:09
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 23:09
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.14%E -2.24%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.52%E -3.28%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.56%E -2.52%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-04 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.22%E -3.81%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.10%E -3.08%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-04 22:10
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-04 22:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.91%E -4.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.64%E -3.67%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-04 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 69.89%3.32I 30.12%NM 30.11%0.1%2026-06-04 22:50
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-04 23:10
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-06-04 18:30
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-04 20:10
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-06-04 23:10
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%5.9%2026-06-04 21:49