La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-07-01 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 54.98%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.579%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.77%55.09%55.21%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.79%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 45.02%2.22momio equitativo
EV +0.402%
Ventaja +0.180%
Kelly +0.327%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.91%44.79%46.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.132.2348.78%46.84%46.95%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.402%E +0.180%K +0.327%G +0.001%3.0%2026-07-01 21:00
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.949%E -0.431%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.949%E -0.431%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 20:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.949%E -0.431%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.29%E -5.63%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.949%E -0.431%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:00
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:00
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:00
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:00
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 21:10
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 20:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 20:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.64%E -4.55%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.85%E -0.848%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 20:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.59%E -0.889%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-01 23:00
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 20:40
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-01 22:58
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 23:10
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-01 02:40
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.75%E -1.27%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 20:40
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 23:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 03:20
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 17:20
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 02:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 21:20
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.99%E -3.50%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.20%E -1.49%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 21:09
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 23:10
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.74%E -5.26%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -3.65%E -1.71%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 21:00
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.04%E -0.579%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 23:00
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 11:20
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 23:10
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 23:10
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 23:10
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 22:58
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 23:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 23:10
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.69%E -1.52%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 23:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 23:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 05:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 23:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 23:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 23:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 01:59
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.44%E -3.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.54%E -3.85%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.45%E -2.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 20:40
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.34%E -2.49%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.90%E -2.82%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 23:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -2.14%E -1.20%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.19%E -4.90%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.80%E -3.29%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 22:48
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.79%E -2.17%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 23:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.89%E -2.83%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 20:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-01 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-07-01 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-01 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-01 23:10
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-01 23:10
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-01 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-01 18:40
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-01 23:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-01 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-07-01 23:10