La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v San Francisco Giants

Inicio: 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–7 San Francisco Giants

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 56.05%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.793%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%56.00%56.04%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.65%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Predicción 43.95%2.28momio equitativo
EV +0.209%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.00%43.96%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.182.2850.00%46.02%45.87%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.209%E +0.091%K +0.163%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:10
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.11%E -0.493%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.11%E -0.493%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 23:10
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.99%E -0.892%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 23:10
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.43%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-17 23:00
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 22:30
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -2.87%E -1.30%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 22:50
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.793%E -0.448%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-17 19:10
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 18:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 19:10
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 18:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 17:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 23:10
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 23:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:10
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 02:29
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.52%E -4.56%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 18:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 22:50
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 21:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 22:18
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 23:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:10
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.19%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 23:10
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 21:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.63%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.07%E -2.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 22:50
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.47%E -1.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 18:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 17:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 18:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 23:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.72%E -2.77%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.28%E -3.12%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 23:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.40%E -3.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.51%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 20:50
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.94%E -2.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 22:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.84%E -3.47%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -6.96%E -4.19%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -8.14%E -3.90%K -7.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 22:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -1.91%E -1.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%0.2%2026-06-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-06-17 23:00
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-06-17 22:50
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-06-17 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-17 22:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-06-17 21:30
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-06-17 23:00
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%3.6%2026-06-17 23:00