Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-06-06 20:11 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 50.88%1.97odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.668%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.92%50.92%52.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.28%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.879%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%49.08%49.08%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.942.0053.48%51.54%51.55%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 50.88%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 49.12%. Para Atlanta Braves (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.94, com valor esperado de -1.30%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.30%E -0.668%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 17:29
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 19:39
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 19:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.80%E -0.935%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 17:59
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.76%E -0.879%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.77%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-06 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 19:29
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:08
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 16:49
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 01:59
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 16:49
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 19:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:29
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.35%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.74%E -1.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 19:48
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 19:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 01:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 20:09
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:19
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 20:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 00:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.18%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.38%E -3.47%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 19:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 20:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.77%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.40%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.70%E -2.43%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.91%E -4.37%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.67%E -3.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-06 19:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.42%E -4.68%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-06-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-06-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-06-06 20:10
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-06 20:09
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-06 20:09
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-06 16:50
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-06-06 19:49
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-06 20:10
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-06-06 20:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-06 20:10