A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-14 23:20 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–5 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 59.27%1.69odd justa
EV -1.02%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.07%59.28%60.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.611.6764.52%61.99%62.11%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 40.73%2.46odd justa
EV -0.216%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.149%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.93%40.72%43.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.58%42.55%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.02%E -0.608%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:15
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -1.61%E -0.969%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 23:00
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.61%E -0.969%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.66%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 22:30
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.44%E -0.594%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 23:15
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 23:15
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 23:14
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 23:08
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.79%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.79%E -1.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 23:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 23:04
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 12:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:04
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.216%E -0.088%K -0.149%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 22:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.88%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:08
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:53
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 20:44
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:50
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:04
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:05
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 12:50
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 14:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:50
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 15:38
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.10%E -2.19%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 15:34
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.51%E -2.38%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 21:25
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 21:25
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:49
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:04
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 20:39
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:15
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:10
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 22:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 20:48
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-14 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.25%E -0.939%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-04-14 23:14
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-14 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-14 23:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-14 23:15
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-14 23:15
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-14 23:15
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-04-14 23:05