Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-25 23:16 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 41.80%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.324%
Ventaja +0.135%
Kelly +0.232%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%41.83%41.79%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.252.4046.51%44.04%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.20%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.17%58.21%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.651.651.6964.52%60.66%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Atlanta Braves (Local): 41.80%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 58.20%. Para Atlanta Braves (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.39. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.324%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +0.324%E +0.135%K +0.232%G +0.001%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.79%E -6.32%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 01:14
Caesars🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%EV -0.094%E -0.039%K -0.067%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 01:54
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.930%E -0.392%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 20:54
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.930%E -0.392%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.35%E -0.571%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.35%E -0.571%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.77%E -0.751%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.64%E -0.973%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-24 20:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.77%E -0.751%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.14%E -3.15%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.18%E -0.933%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-24 23:49
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.18%E -0.933%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 22:04
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-25 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 00:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 21:24
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 21:24
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.55%E -2.78%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-24 21:49
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 20:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 23:34
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.86%E -1.68%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-25 01:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.11%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.55%E -2.78%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 23:39
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.14%E -3.15%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:54
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.14%E -3.15%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:54
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.53%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 01:59
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.53%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 01:59
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.53%E -2.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 02:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:19
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.23%E -1.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 01:19
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 21:24
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:54
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 02:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.55%E -2.78%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:54
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 23:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.72%E -3.53%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 23:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:53
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.95%E -2.64%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 01:53
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.81%E -1.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 01:19
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.78%E -3.04%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.39%E -2.04%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 01:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 02:14
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.97%E -2.41%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 01:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.78%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.55%E -2.78%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.46%E -4.69%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-24 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.04%E -3.65%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -8.05%E -5.09%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-24 23:38
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.13%E -4.71%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.30%E -3.91%K -10.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 01:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.37I 42.19%NM 42.20%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.80%-0.0%2026-08-25 02:14
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-25 02:09
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-25 02:09
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-24 23:00
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-08-25 02:19
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%3.0%2026-08-25 00:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%9.6%2026-08-25 02:34