La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-04-10 23:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 55.74%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.756%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%55.73%55.75%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.711.711.7760.61%58.37%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 44.26%2.26momio equitativo
EV +0.024%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.019%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.27%44.25%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.162.152.2648.78%46.35%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.024%E +0.011%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-10 22:40
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -0.861%E -0.385%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-10 23:00
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.75%E -0.787%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -1.75%E -0.787%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-10 23:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.75%E -0.787%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-10 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:35
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 19:45
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:04
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:43
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 14:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.03%E -4.86%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 14:29
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.34%E -0.756%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:20
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 18:45
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.52%E -1.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:59
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-10 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 20:39
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 19:40
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 22:34
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 22:35
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-09 20:54
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 23:00
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 19:00
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 19:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 22:35
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 14:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:45
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 23:05
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.35%E -3.78%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 22:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:20
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:20
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:20
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:20
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.29%E -2.47%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 22:20
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:19
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:20
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 22:19
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:15
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:15
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 23:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.12%E -2.40%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 23:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 23:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 23:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-04-10 23:15
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-10 22:50
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-10 22:35
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-04-10 23:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%2.8%2026-04-10 23:15