La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-04-01 16:17 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 66.62%1.50momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.944%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.16%66.30%66.70%67.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.57%69.44%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 33.38%3.00momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.408%
Kelly -0.616%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.49%33.70%33.30%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.812.9638.46%35.32%35.52%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.40%E -0.944%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:15
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -1.40%E -0.944%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -11.55%E -4.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.06%E -1.40%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -11.55%E -4.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:15
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.21%E -0.408%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 16:03
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.21%E -0.408%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.54%E -0.522%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 16:15
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -1.54%E -0.522%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-01 16:15
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV -2.54%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.73%E -1.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -11.55%E -4.36%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:15
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 16:14
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:14
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:14
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -13.22%E -5.09%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 16:13
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:14
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:15
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 16:14
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:14
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:15
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:15
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:14
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:14
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -7.21%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 16:15
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.54%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 16:14
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:15
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:14
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -3.54%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 16:15
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:14
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:14
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.55%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:14
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:15
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 16:15
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.54%E -0.522%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:14
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -3.54%E -1.23%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 16:14
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.88%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:15
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 16:14
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 16:14
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 16:14
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 16:14
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.73%E -4.80%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 16:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46%0.0%2026-04-01 16:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-04-01 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-04-01 16:15
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-01 16:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-04-01 16:15
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-04-01 16:15
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-04-01 16:15
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%2.9%2026-04-01 16:14
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-04-01 16:15