Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-09-08 02:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–5 Toronto Blue Jays

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 34.56%2.89odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.82%34.50%34.52%36.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.802.793.0039.22%35.70%35.84%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 65.44%1.53odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.783%
Kelly -2.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.91%65.50%65.48%68.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.451.451.5174.07%69.20%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 34.56%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 65.44%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.89. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.73%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.73%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 02:00
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.73%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.73%E -5.48%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.67%E +1.22%K +1.84%G +0.067%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 02:00
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.94%E +0.659%K +0.997%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.38%E -5.99%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +1.94%E +0.659%K +0.997%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 02:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV +1.94%E +0.659%K +0.997%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -9.69%E -7.02%K -25.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 02:00
GTbets🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -0.474%E -0.165%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-08 02:00
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -0.474%E -0.165%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -11.65%E -8.63%K -33.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.820%E -0.286%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.820%E -0.286%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-08 02:00
theScore Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -1.17%E -0.407%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 01:40
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.51%E -0.530%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.49%E -1.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-08 01:45
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.51%E -0.530%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.49%E -1.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-08 01:55
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.51%E -0.530%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 00:35
Fliff🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.51%E -0.530%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 21:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -2.20%E -0.778%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 01:55
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.18%E -0.783%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-08 01:55
BetUS🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.50%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.50%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 02:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.49%E -1.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 01:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 01:40
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 01:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.93%E -1.41%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 01:54
DraftKings🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.89%EV -4.28%E -1.54%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.11%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 02:05
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.62%E -1.67%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 02:05
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 01:59
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 00:00
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 01:50
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 01:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.97%E -1.81%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 01:25
SportsBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.31%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.45%E -3.05%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.00%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.45%E -3.05%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.84%E -1.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-07 20:05
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-08 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.42%E -4.49%K -14.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:50
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.39%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:40
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.39%E -2.76%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.80%E -2.58%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 01:39
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.15%E -2.13%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 01:53
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.42%E -3.18%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.07%E -4.98%K -16.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 02:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 01:58
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.11%E -3.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 02:00
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.46%E -3.61%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 23:40
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -5.76%E -4.00%K -13.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 02:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.22%0.0%2026-09-08 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-09-08 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-09-08 02:00
ProphetX◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-09-08 02:05
Polymarket◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-09-08 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%0.9%2026-09-08 02:05
Novig◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%1.1%2026-09-08 02:00
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-09-08 02:05
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-09-08 02:05
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-09-08 02:05