Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-04-14 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 1–8 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 46.58%2.15momio equitativo
EV +0.146%
Ventaja +0.068%
Kelly +0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%46.40%46.68%48.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.39%48.08%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 53.42%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.97%53.60%53.32%55.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.771.8358.82%56.29%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Athletics (Local): 46.58%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 53.42%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.147. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.150, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.146%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.146%E +0.068%K +0.127%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 01:35
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.72%E -0.814%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 00:40
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.72%E -0.814%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.77%E -1.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-13 20:10
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -3.31%E -1.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-14 00:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 01:35
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 17:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 00:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-13 17:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:45
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:45
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 18:53
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 01:38
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:24
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 00:25
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.05%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.31%E -1.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 01:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 14:00
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 22:45
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 01:30
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 01:37
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 00:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 01:35
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 01:39
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.51%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.38%E -2.45%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 01:39
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 01:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.98%E -2.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 01:39
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 01:30
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 01:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 17:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.91%E -2.76%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 01:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.77%E -3.93%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.17%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 01:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-14 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-14 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-14 01:40
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-04-14 01:35
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-14 01:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-14 01:35
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-04-14 01:40
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%1.2%2026-04-14 01:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-04-14 01:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.3%2026-04-14 01:35