Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-08-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 3–5 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 40.16%2.49momio equitativo
EV +1.19%
Ventaja +0.474%
Kelly +0.786%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.81%40.15%40.00%41.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.372.372.5244.84%42.16%42.19%39.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 59.84%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.44%59.85%60.00%61.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.37%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Athletics (Local): 40.16%; Texas Rangers (Visitante): 59.84%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.49. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.52, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.19%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV +1.19%E +0.474%K +0.786%G +0.009%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-16 01:30
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.391%E +0.156%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.011%E -0.004%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 01:30
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -0.412%E -0.166%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 01:20
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -0.412%E -0.166%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 01:30
BetAnything🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -0.814%E -0.329%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 00:39
Caesars🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%EV -1.22%E -0.494%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-16 01:08
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.22%E -0.494%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 00:39
Bovada🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -1.22%E -0.494%K -0.832%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 01:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.62%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.26%E -0.762%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-15 19:39
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.62%E -0.660%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 01:35
DraftKings🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -2.42%E -0.996%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -1.26%E -0.762%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-15 22:48
theScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.42%E -0.996%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 00:44
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 00:44
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 00:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 01:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 01:19
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.62%E -1.51%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:19
SportsBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.03%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 00:29
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.43%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:19
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.83%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 01:19
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 00:30
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -4.83%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.23%E -2.22%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 17:24
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 00:39
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 00:39
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.27%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:19
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 22:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.63%E -2.40%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -1.86%E -1.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 01:14
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:04
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:04
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -6.84%E -2.95%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -2.45%E -1.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 01:04
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.64%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.64%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.85%E -3.05%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.64%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.45%E -3.45%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.64%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 23:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.64%E -3.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.05%E -3.85%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 01:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.44%E -3.70%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.85%E -3.90%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 01:14
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 01:28
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.65%E -4.29%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.25%E -2.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.45%E -4.69%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.64%E -4.26%K -11.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.53%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.47%-0.2%2026-08-16 01:35
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-08-16 01:35
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-08-16 01:25
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-08-16 01:35
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-15 21:49
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-08-15 23:55
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-08-16 01:35