Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-08-11 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 41.26%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.572%
Ventaja -0.237%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.30%41.33%41.33%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.41%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)

Predicción 58.74%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.67%58.67%59.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.32%61.35%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletics (Local): 41.26%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante): 58.74%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.41, con un valor esperado de -0.572%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.572%E -0.237%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 01:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.984%E -0.410%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-10 01:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.984%E -0.410%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 21:24
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.984%E -0.410%K -0.703%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-10 03:09
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.40%E -0.584%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.49%E -1.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 21:25
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 21:29
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 21:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 21:20
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.63%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 03:04
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 21:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 21:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 01:25
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:39
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.46%E -1.48%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 23:20
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 20:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 23:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 20:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 20:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 20:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 01:44
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 23:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 01:45
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 01:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:29
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:23
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 03:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.49%E -1.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 03:29
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:30
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.00%E -3.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.00%E -3.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.84%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 03:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.19%E -4.55%K -12.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 03:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.77%E -4.95%K -13.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 20:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%-0.2%2026-08-10 03:09
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-10 03:20
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-08-10 03:30
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-10 02:35
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-10 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-10 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-08-10 03:30
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%5.6%2026-08-10 03:15
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-08-09 23:50