L’École des cotes

Athletics v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 01:41 UTC

Score final : Athletics 4–6 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 58.79%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%58.61%58.84%60.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.621.621.68100.00%61.89%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.21%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.961%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.663%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.80%41.39%41.16%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.002.292.302.45100.00%43.68%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.961%E +0.392%K +0.663%G +0.006%2.5%2026-05-13 01:35
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.961%E +0.392%K +0.663%G +0.006%2.5%2026-05-13 01:35
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.961%E +0.392%K +0.663%G +0.006%2.5%2026-05-13 01:35
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.276%E -0.114%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-13 00:15
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.688%E -0.285%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 01:25
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -1.10%E -0.458%K -0.786%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:50
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.10%E -0.458%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.10%E -0.458%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.92%E -0.808%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.34%E -0.986%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 00:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.34%E -0.986%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 00:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.75%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 01:30
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 01:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 00:30
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 01:30
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 01:40
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 01:29
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 00:25
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.40%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 01:30
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.81%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 22:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 22:44
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 22:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.99%E -1.81%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:10
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:15
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 01:25
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 23:05
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 23:05
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 23:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 02:24
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 10:19
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.52%E -4.10%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.63%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 22:30
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.63%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 00:25
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-13 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 01:35
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.17%E -2.56%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 01:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 01:34
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:35
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.04%E -2.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 01:30
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 23:15
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.93%E -3.71%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.11%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.23%E -0.732%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 01:40
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.58%E -2.18%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 01:40
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -10.99%E -5.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 01:40
Betsson1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -41.21%E -41.21%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -58.79%E -58.79%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-05-13 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-05-13 00:40
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-13 01:40
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-12 23:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-13 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-13 01:40
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-13 01:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-05-13 01:40
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-05-13 01:40