Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-09-13 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 8–7 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

45%

55%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 45.35%2.21odd justa

EV -1.60%

Vantagem -0.737%

Kelly -1.37%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

44.00%45.25%45.43%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.022.112.102.1749.50%47.37%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 54.65%1.83odd justa

EV -1.08%

Vantagem -0.595%

Kelly -1.33%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

53.66%54.75%54.57%56.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.651.741.731.8160.61%57.47%57.80%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 45.35%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 54.65%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.81, com valor esperado de -1.08%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Everygame🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.60%E -0.737%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-09-13 13:39
GTbets🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.05%E -0.950%K -1.77%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-13 17:20
BetUS🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.05%E -0.950%K -1.77%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.05%E -0.950%K -1.77%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-13 17:20
1xBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.62%E -0.902%K -2.03%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-09-13 19:45
BetAnything🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-13 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 20:05
BetRivers🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-13 20:05
Unibet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 15:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.08%E -0.595%K -1.33%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-09-13 19:45
LowVig.ag🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-13 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.75%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-13 17:20
Casumo🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:05
betPARX🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:05
Bally Bet🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:05
TABtouch🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 19:20
SportsBet🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:20
Bet Right🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 19:55
Coolbet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.87%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-13 14:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-13 20:00
Fanatics🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 13:34
ReBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 14:10
Caesars🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 20:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-13 13:35
Coral🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 17:15
TAB🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 19:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-13 20:05
BetMGM🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 13:33
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 19:55
betfred_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 13:35
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-13 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-13 20:05
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-13 20:05
betano_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 19:59
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-13 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-13 20:05
DraftKings🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-13 19:55
Bovada🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-13 19:45
PlayUp🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-13 20:04
Betsson🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 13:35
NordicBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-13 13:35
Grosvenor🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.20%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -9.27%E -5.59%K -14.05%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-09-13 20:05
Neds🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-13 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-13 19:54
Paddy Power🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.04%E -3.43%K -6.71%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-09-13 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.40%E -4.16%K -8.24%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.21%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-13 19:55

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%	1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%	0.6%	2026-09-13 20:05
ProphetX◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%	0.8%	2026-09-13 20:05
Polymarket◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	1.0%	2026-09-13 20:05
Kalshi◎	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	1.0%	2026-09-13 19:40
Matchbook◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	1.1%	2026-09-13 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	1.1%	2026-09-13 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%	1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%	1.1%	2026-09-13 20:05
Novig◎	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%	1.6%	2026-09-13 20:05
Smarkets◎	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%	1.8%	2026-09-13 20:05
BetOpenly◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%	4.9%	2026-09-13 20:00