L’École des cotes

Athletics v Pittsburgh Pirates

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 01:41 UTC

Score final : Athletics 5–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 56.39%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.756%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%56.54%56.48%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.681.681.7564.52%59.39%59.52%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.61%2.29cote équitable
EV +2.49%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%43.46%43.52%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3547.62%45.70%45.45%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.78%E -6.11%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +2.49%E +1.06%K +1.85%G +0.046%5.1%2026-06-17 01:10
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.311%E +0.135%K +0.239%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-17 01:30
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.311%E +0.135%K +0.239%G +0.001%2.0%2026-06-17 00:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.125%E -0.055%K -0.097%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-17 01:30
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.997%E -0.439%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -0.997%E -0.439%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 01:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.43%E -0.634%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-16 22:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.87%E -0.831%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.60%E -8.13%K -22.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -1.87%E -0.831%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 01:40
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 00:20
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 01:39
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.32%E -0.756%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.18%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-16 23:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.18%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 00:20
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 12:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 00:50
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 00:50
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:49
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:39
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 00:50
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 00:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 00:20
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 00:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 00:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 19:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 01:40
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 12:50
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 00:50
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 01:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 00:20
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.92%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 01:40
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 00:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 13:50
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 23:20
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:39
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 01:40
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.40%E -3.85%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -6.67%E -3.12%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.10%E -3.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 01:19
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.32%E -0.756%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.02%E -1.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 01:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.09%E -4.96%K -12.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 01:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-06-17 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-06-17 01:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-17 01:40
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-06-17 01:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-17 01:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-06-17 01:30
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-06-17 01:40