Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-04-04 01:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.00%50.00%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.41%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.505%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.00%50.00%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9854.64%52.39%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 50.00%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 50.00%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.00%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 12:30
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 23:34
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 11:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 11:30
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 11:30
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 00:25
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.00%E -0.505%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 00:40
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 11:29
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-03 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 22:20
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:29
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 01:39
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:24
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:04
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:05
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:33
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:34
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:34
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 01:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:34
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:34
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:34
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:35
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:35
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 01:35
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 01:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 01:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 01:39
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 01:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-04-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-04-04 01:40
BetOpenly1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.0%2026-04-04 01:39
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.0%2026-04-04 01:40
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-04 01:35
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-04-04 01:40
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.8%2026-04-04 01:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-04-04 01:30
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-04-04 01:35