L’École des cotes

Athletics v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 20:06 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 50.93%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.688%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.35%51.06%50.97%53.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.29%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.07%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.595%
Avantage +0.290%
Kelly +0.567%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.75%48.94%49.03%50.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.941.942.0553.48%51.51%51.68%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.33%E -4.63%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.595%E +0.290%K +0.567%G +0.003%4.3%2026-04-04 19:49
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.105%E +0.051%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.105%E +0.051%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 19:54
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.105%E +0.051%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 19:54
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV +0.105%E +0.051%K +0.101%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-04 19:54
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.22%E -1.15%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.86%E -0.929%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 20:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.80%E -3.72%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.86%E -0.929%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 19:54
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.20%E -0.617%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 20:04
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 19:54
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:54
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.29%E -3.42%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:54
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:54
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:00
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:59
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:00
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:44
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:04
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:05
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:00
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 19:59
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.29%E -3.42%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:00
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:00
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:59
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.78%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 12:39
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:59
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:59
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:59
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:59
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 20:04
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 20:04
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.27%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 20:04
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -0.688%E -0.353%K -0.725%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 11:05
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 20:04
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:03
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.73%E -1.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 19:24
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.24%E -4.40%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 19:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-04 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-04-04 20:05
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-04-04 19:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-04-04 20:04
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-04-04 20:04
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-04 19:34
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-04 19:59
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-04 20:05
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%2.6%2026-04-04 19:59