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Athletics v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-01 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 41.20%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.932%
Ventaja +0.380%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.80%41.17%41.14%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.302.4545.45%43.59%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 58.80%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.622%
Ventaja -0.368%
Kelly -0.902%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.83%58.86%60.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.631.631.6964.10%61.46%61.35%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.932%E +0.380%K +0.643%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 23:55
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.13%E -0.470%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 01:49
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -1.54%E -0.644%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 01:44
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-31 01:45
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.19%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.33%E -3.31%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 01:44
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -0.622%E -0.368%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 01:49
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.01%E -1.72%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:45
Betclic (FR)2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 01:44
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:55
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:09
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:55
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:50
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 01:54
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:44
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 01:44
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 01:43
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.91%E -3.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 01:45
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.25%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:45
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:54
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:50
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:50
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:54
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.07%E -2.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:50
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:40
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.48%E -2.86%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.15%E -2.55%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 01:38
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 01:45
SportsBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.90%E -3.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 01:14
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:54
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.97%E -1.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.74%E -2.93%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 23:53
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 01:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.31%E -3.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.27%E -5.30%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 01:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.80%E -1.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.37%E -4.26%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.68%E -4.89%K -13.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-31 01:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-31 01:15
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-31 01:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%10.0%2026-07-31 01:50
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.01%GTbets 2.45 (40.8%) / 1xBet 1.69 (59.2%)Ver detalles
Athletics (Local)Detroit Tigers (Visitante)Margen
GTbets 2.45 (40.8%)1xBet 1.69 (59.2%)+0.012%