Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Colorado Rockies

Inicio: 2026-06-14 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 9–23 Colorado Rockies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 63.54%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.972%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%63.44%63.53%64.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5569.44%66.44%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Colorado Rockies (Visitante)

Predicción 36.46%2.74momio equitativo
EV +0.617%
Ventaja +0.224%
Kelly +0.351%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%36.56%36.47%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7641.67%38.29%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Athletics (Local): 63.54%; Colorado Rockies (Visitante): 36.46%. Para Colorado Rockies (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.74. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.76, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.617%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV +0.617%E +0.224%K +0.351%G +0.002%2.0%2026-06-14 19:00
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.252%E +0.092%K +0.144%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV +0.252%E +0.092%K +0.144%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.477%E -0.175%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -0.477%E -0.175%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 18:50
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.841%E -0.309%K -0.489%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-14 18:50
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.14%E -1.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.57%E -0.582%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-14 18:30
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -2.78%E -1.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.57%E -0.582%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 14:30
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -2.30%E -0.858%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-14 19:00
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -2.30%E -0.858%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.03%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 18:30
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 16:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 14:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -2.14%E -1.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 18:01
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 14:19
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.50%E -5.90%K -19.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 18:20
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 18:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.22%E -4.95%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.41%E -2.24%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.05%E -2.68%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.32%E -3.57%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.95%E -4.02%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 16:40
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.51%E -0.972%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.59%E -4.48%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.14%E -1.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.59%E -3.87%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:40
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.14%E -1.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -9.59%E -3.87%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.68%E -3.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.51%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-06-14 19:00
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-06-14 18:30
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-06-14 19:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-14 15:40
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-14 19:00
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%2.7%2026-06-14 18:30