La escuela de los momios

Athletics v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-03 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 7–1 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 46.19%2.16momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.736%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.58%46.25%45.95%47.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.082.2051.02%48.22%48.19%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 53.81%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.624%
Ventaja +0.334%
Kelly +0.717%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.11%53.75%54.05%55.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.761.761.8759.52%56.78%56.82%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +1.62%E +0.736%K +1.35%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 20:00
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -0.229%E -0.106%K -0.197%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-03 19:35
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.15%E -0.539%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 18:45
MyBookie.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.61%E -0.758%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:04
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.08%E -0.979%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 20:01
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.54%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.53%E -0.835%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-03 20:04
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:05
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:04
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 20:03
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-03 17:00
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 19:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:04
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 19:50
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:15
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:15
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 19:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 17:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.00%E -1.43%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 17:35
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 19:15
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 18:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.92%E -1.89%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 20:00
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:05
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.39%E -2.12%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 20:00
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:05
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.85%E -2.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.99%E -4.67%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 20:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 20:04
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.22%E -2.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 17:00
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.76%E -2.69%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 20:04
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.30%E -3.01%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.37%E -3.66%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 20:03
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.31%E -2.59%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.91%E -3.99%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.624%E +0.334%K +0.717%G +0.004%2.5%2026-05-03 20:05
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV +0.624%E +0.334%K +0.717%G +0.004%2.5%2026-05-03 20:04
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.68%E -2.06%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 20:05
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -8.52%E -5.01%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.990%E -0.538%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.70%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.60%E -5.71%K -14.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 20:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.62%E -3.81%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.83%E -3.33%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.54%E -4.31%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.47%E -4.83%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.14%E -1.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-03 20:05
ProphetX2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-03 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-05-03 20:05
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-03 20:05
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-05-03 20:05
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-03 20:05
BetOpenly2.07I 48.31%NM 47.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.54%1.8%2026-05-03 20:04
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-05-03 20:05