L’École des cotes

Athletics v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 01:41 UTC

Score final : Athletics 5–8 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 48.45%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.684%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.652%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.03%48.35%48.50%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.961.962.0552.36%50.94%51.02%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.55%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.65%51.50%53.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.861.851.9257.47%53.86%54.05%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.684%E -0.334%K -0.652%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-01 21:55
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -1.17%E -0.573%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -10.30%E -5.92%K -13.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 01:40
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.65%E -0.814%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-01 21:59
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -1.53%E -0.803%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-02 01:29
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 01:34
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.62%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-02 01:35
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.02%E -0.530%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 01:14
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 21:55
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 23:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 01:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 21:54
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-01 21:54
MyBookie.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 23:53
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-01 14:25
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 01:39
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:25
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 23:04
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:35
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:29
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:29
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:29
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:29
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:30
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 22:35
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 21:54
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:19
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 01:25
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.05%E -1.08%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 14:24
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 17:59
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 14:25
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 14:25
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 21:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:24
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 00:49
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 18:00
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:19
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 23:20
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 01:40
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.60%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.11%E -2.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 01:40
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 23:44
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:40
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.08%E -1.64%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.14%E -2.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 01:39
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.803%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 01:54
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 14:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 14:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-05-02 01:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-02 01:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-02 01:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-05-02 01:15
Novig2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-05-02 01:39
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-05-02 01:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-02 01:39
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-01 14:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-01 14:45
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-05-02 00:34