L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-06 20:11 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 1–6 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 58.42%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.73%58.34%58.38%59.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.39%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.58%2.40cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.597%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.20%41.66%41.62%43.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.312.332.4446.51%43.21%42.92%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +1.46%E +0.597%K +1.01%G +0.015%2.0%2026-06-06 20:09
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.207%E -0.086%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 20:09
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.04%E -0.436%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-06 17:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.45%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.45%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -1.45%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.87%E -0.792%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 20:09
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 19:29
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 20:09
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 20:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 20:08
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 17:49
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:50
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:50
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 20:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.29%E -0.973%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 20:09
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.70%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 20:09
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 20:09
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:49
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:50
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.12%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:49
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -1.86%E -1.10%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.53%E -1.52%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 18:49
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 17:49
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 18:49
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 19:29
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 20:09
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 19:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 18:39
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.94%E -3.69%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 20:09
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 17:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.28%E -5.27%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 20:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.28%E -5.27%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.36%E -1.90%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 17:50
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 18:49
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 18:39
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.20%E -2.28%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 19:29
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 18:39
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:29
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.78%E -2.93%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.61%E -2.47%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:39
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.27%E -0.752%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-06 15:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 17:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.61%E -2.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 17:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:49
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.44%E -1.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.02%E -1.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 20:09
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.53%E -4.08%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 19:49
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.19%E -2.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.60%E -4.93%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-06 20:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-06 20:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 18:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 20:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-06-06 20:09
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%2.6%2026-06-06 20:10
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%2.8%2026-06-06 20:09