La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-07-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–3 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 52.16%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.472%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%52.23%52.17%53.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.831.831.9057.14%54.53%54.64%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 47.84%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.940%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%47.77%47.83%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.991.992.0553.19%50.35%50.25%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -0.897%E -0.472%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-18 19:25
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.42%E -0.751%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 17:35
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.93%E -0.940%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-18 19:55
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-18 20:09
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 17:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 17:45
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.940%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:10
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.940%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 18:10
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.41%E -1.18%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:10
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-18 20:10
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.46%E -1.32%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 17:34
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 16:20
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 20:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 04:35
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 20:05
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.51%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:05
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 16:20
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.03%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 16:35
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:30
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:30
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 01:20
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 19:20
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:30
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:34
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 20:34
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:30
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 19:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 20:05
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.62%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 17:45
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 20:10
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 04:44
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.28%E -2.66%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.75%E -2.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 20:00
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.59%E -3.09%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.67%E -3.97%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 18:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 20:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:14
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 02:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 17:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:04
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:05
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:10
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.16%E -4.02%K -9.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.67%E -3.97%K -8.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 19:43
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49%EV -10.06%E -5.35%K -11.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.93%E -0.940%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 06:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 52.12%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.88%-0.1%2026-07-18 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-18 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-18 20:05
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%0.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 19:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-18 01:35
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-07-18 20:10
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-18 20:10
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-07-18 20:10