A Escola das Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-05-06 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 9–0 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 54.48%1.84odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.81%54.57%54.31%55.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.7958.82%57.08%57.14%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 45.52%2.20odd justa
EV +0.134%
Vantagem +0.061%
Kelly +0.112%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.43%45.69%46.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.45%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.134%E +0.061%K +0.112%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-05 18:30
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.134%E +0.061%K +0.112%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-06 01:35
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.02%E -1.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.776%E -0.356%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-05 22:25
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.776%E -0.356%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-06 01:39
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.47%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.69%E -0.781%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-06 01:18
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 17:10
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-05 14:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 17:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 17:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.29%E -3.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 00:02
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.14%E -0.996%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 01:24
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.47%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:20
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.47%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-06 01:20
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 21:25
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.47%E -1.38%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-05 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.02%E -1.70%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 23:40
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:25
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.51%E -1.65%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 21:24
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.96%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-05 22:24
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.96%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 21:25
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.96%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 22:25
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:45
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 22:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 19:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:35
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-05 23:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:25
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 21:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 15:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.83%E -3.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.38%E -4.34%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.42%E -2.10%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 22:20
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:20
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.56%E -2.01%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 22:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.33%E -2.56%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 01:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 01:40
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 23:35
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 23:35
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.65%E -2.66%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.78%E -2.79%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.11%E -2.33%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 01:40
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.20%E -2.99%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 01:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.74%E -3.32%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.69%E -3.27%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 01:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-06 01:39
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-06 01:39
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-06 01:39
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.2%2026-05-06 01:39
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-06 01:39
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-05-06 01:35