默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Philadelphia Phillies

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 19:41 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)

预测 45.60%2.19公平赔率
EV -0.591%
优势 -0.271%
Kelly -0.501%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.18

博彩公司预测分布
44.30%45.55%45.64%46.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.012.102.102.1849.75%47.71%47.62%45.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 54.40%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.849%
Kelly -1.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.81

博彩公司预测分布
53.58%54.45%54.36%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.751.751.8159.52%57.15%57.14%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arizona Diamondbacks (主队):45.60%;Philadelphia Phillies (客队):54.40%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.18,期望值为-0.591%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.591%E -0.271%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.05%E -0.483%K -0.895%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 19:25
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 18:55
BetAnything🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 19:30
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 19:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 18:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.96%E -0.911%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.42%E -1.13%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.54%E -0.849%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-02 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.87%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 19:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36%EV -3.17%E -1.78%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 17:45
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.33%E -1.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.08%E -1.16%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 15:10
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 15:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 18:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.24%E -2.02%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.70%E -2.25%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.15%E -2.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:49
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:33
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:33
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.61%E -2.71%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:45
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.71%E -2.10%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.34%E -3.07%K -7.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 19:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 15:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.89%E -3.40%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 19:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.43%E -3.74%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 19:40
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 19:39
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.52%E -4.42%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 19:39
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.89%E -3.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.80%E -2.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -7.89%E -3.90%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.61%E -5.12%K -12.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -8.34%E -4.15%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 19:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.22I 45.05%NM 45.19%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.81%-0.3%2026-09-02 19:35
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-09-02 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-09-02 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-09-02 19:35
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-09-02 19:40
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 19:40
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 19:20
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-09-02 19:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-09-02 19:25