L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Minnesota Twins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 02:11 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 8–16 Minnesota Twins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 52.26%1.91cote équitable
EV -0.180%
Avantage -0.094%
Kelly -0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%52.27%52.22%53.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.821.9157.14%54.77%54.95%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Twins (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.74%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.571%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%47.73%47.78%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.002.002.0752.63%50.01%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.180%E -0.094%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 02:09
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.66%E -0.805%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-21 01:50
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 02:09
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 02:09
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 02:09
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 01:29
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.75%E -0.930%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.61%E -1.28%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-21 02:09
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.66%E -0.805%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-21 00:29
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 02:09
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 02:09
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 23:39
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.32%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.30%E -4.89%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 02:06
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.84%E -2.09%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 02:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -4.05%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 01:19
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 01:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 02:09
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 00:30
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 00:30
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 00:29
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 00:19
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 23:29
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 00:19
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 00:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.91%E -3.54%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 02:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.36%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 23:49
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 00:29
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 00:20
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 00:30
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 23:09
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.00%E -2.51%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 02:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.88%E -2.68%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-21 02:09
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -1.18%E -0.571%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 01:30
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.57%E -1.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 00:30
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:29
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 00:30
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 02:09
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 01:29
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 01:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.96%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 01:30
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.41%E -2.99%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.96%E -3.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 01:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 22:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 21:59
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 23:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 23:29
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 23:29
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 21:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.52%E -2.26%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-20 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 02:09
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.93%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.43%E -3.28%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.50%E -4.24%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -7.39%E -3.81%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 02:08
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.49%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.51%-0.3%2026-06-21 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-06-21 02:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-21 01:50
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-06-20 23:29
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-06-21 02:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-21 02:10
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-06-21 02:10