Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-09 00:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 39.05%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.410%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.14%39.04%39.05%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.5543.48%40.81%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.95%1.64momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.96%60.95%61.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6266.67%63.91%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 39.05%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 60.95%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.55, con un valor esperado de -0.410%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -0.410%E -0.161%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-08 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.19%E -0.471%K -0.779%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 02:00
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -1.58%E -0.628%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -3.10%E -1.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 00:20
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-08 01:55
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -1.27%E -0.783%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 00:55
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.36%E -0.945%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 00:55
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 00:50
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.53%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 02:10
Bovada🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.53%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 22:49
DraftKings🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.53%E -1.43%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 02:04
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -1.88%E -1.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-08 01:45
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.10%E -1.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:59
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:50
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 02:05
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:45
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.88%E -2.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.53%E -3.57%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.10%E -1.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.71%E -2.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.32%E -2.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:25
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.93%E -3.16%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 02:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.75%E -4.41%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 02:04
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -8.58%E -5.72%K -17.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 00:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.49%E -1.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.49%E -1.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.36%E -4.84%K -14.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-08 00:35
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-08 01:50
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%1.6%2026-08-08 02:20
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.6%2026-08-08 02:40
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%9.3%2026-08-08 01:00
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-08-08 02:05