Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-08 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 39.21%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.780%
Ventaja +0.303%
Kelly +0.497%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.16%39.19%40.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.402.5743.48%41.21%41.67%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 60.79%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.311%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.486%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%60.84%60.81%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.571.571.6465.79%63.69%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 39.21%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 60.79%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.57, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.780%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV +0.780%E +0.303%K +0.497%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 06:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -2.13%E -1.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-07 05:05
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 03:25
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 06:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.397%E -0.156%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 03:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -0.397%E -0.156%K -0.258%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-07 03:25
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 04:50
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 03:55
DraftKings🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -2.36%E -0.947%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 05:30
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:29
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.39%E -4.15%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 05:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.14%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:30
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 05:30
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 03:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 04:45
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 05:30
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 04:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-07 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 05:30
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.93%E -1.60%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 03:41
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -4.71%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -0.311%E -0.190%K -0.486%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 04:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.71%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -4.71%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 05:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.49%E -2.28%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:29
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 00:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 05:10
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 03:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.96%E -2.51%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 07:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 03:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 01:00
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 05:45
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 03:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 03:41
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:30
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 07:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.89%E -2.45%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:15
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 00:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 05:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 05:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.67%E -2.80%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.32%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 05:10
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.06%E -2.98%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.57%E -2.91%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 00:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -7.46%E -3.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -3.35%E -2.11%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 04:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.85%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.85%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.85%E -3.34%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 07:44
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -9.02%E -3.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.00%E -4.57%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -9.81%E -4.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.61%E -5.00%K -14.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 03:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%0.1%2026-08-07 07:05
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-08-07 06:40
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-08-07 07:25
ProphetX2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-08-07 05:20
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-08-07 05:55
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%10.1%2026-08-07 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 40.72%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.28%14.8%2026-08-07 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 40.72%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.28%14.8%2026-08-07 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 59.44%1.48I 67.57%NM 40.56%66.6%2026-08-07 07:45
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.11%Caesars 2.57 (39.0%) / 1xBet 1.64 (61.0%)Ver detalles
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)Margen
Caesars🎯 2.57 (39.0%)1xBet🎯 1.64 (61.0%)+0.114%