Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-08-08 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–3 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 38.12%2.62momio equitativo
EV +2.93%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%38.19%38.21%40.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7043.48%40.05%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 61.88%1.62momio equitativo
EV +0.244%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.394%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%61.81%61.79%63.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.551.6266.67%64.71%64.52%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 38.12%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 61.88%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.62. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.93%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV +2.93%E +1.08%K +1.72%G +0.050%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +1.78%E +0.668%K +1.07%G +0.019%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.94%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV +1.02%E +0.385%K +0.619%G +0.006%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-08 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.123%E -0.047%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.123%E -0.047%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.123%E -0.047%K -0.076%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 01:40
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.885%E -0.341%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-08 01:39
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.885%E -0.341%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 01:39
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.885%E -0.341%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:00
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.65%E -0.639%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-08 01:40
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -2.03%E -0.790%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.94%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 01:39
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 01:40
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.94%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.79%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 09:04
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -3.17%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -1.61%E -1.01%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-08 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.17%E -1.25%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 01:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -4.32%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 01:04
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 20:45
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:45
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 01:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 01:39
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 23:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 13:45
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.94%E -3.91%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:38
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.70%E -1.88%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:14
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV +0.244%E +0.151%K +0.394%G +0.001%2.1%2026-08-08 00:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:38
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.46%E -2.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.71%E -3.06%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 21:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.60%E -2.70%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.37%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.37%E -3.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.33%E -3.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.51%E -3.55%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.89%E -3.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.56%E -4.35%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 01:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.27%E -3.90%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.18%E -4.79%K -14.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 21:55
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -10.42%E -4.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.85%E -1.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.42%E -4.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.47%E -2.22%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 01:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 01:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.32%E -5.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.09%E -2.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 01:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-08-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-08-08 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-08-08 01:40
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-08 01:40
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-08-08 01:40
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%1.1%2026-08-08 01:40
ProphetX◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%1.2%2026-08-08 01:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-08-07 22:35
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-08-08 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-08-08 01:39