Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-23 20:16 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–3 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 56.96%1.76odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.842%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.70%56.93%56.95%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.681.671.7362.11%59.64%59.88%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 43.04%2.32odd justa
EV -0.581%
Vantagem -0.251%
Kelly -0.443%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%43.07%43.05%44.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.222.232.3146.73%44.96%44.84%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 56.96%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 43.04%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.31, com valor esperado de -0.581%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.46%E -0.842%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.87%E -0.821%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.03%E -1.18%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-23 19:24
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.46%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.54%EV -0.581%E -0.251%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-23 19:54
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.01%E -0.440%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 19:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.01%E -0.440%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 17:59
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.01%E -0.440%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 18:17
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.30%E -1.01%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-23 19:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 17:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.60%E -1.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:29
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.01%E -0.440%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-23 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.44%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.44%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 17:59
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.17%E -1.86%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:14
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 19:52
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 19:44
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.74%E -2.21%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 20:14
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.87%E -0.821%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.87%E -0.821%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 19:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 19:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:54
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 19:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.75%E -2.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 17:59
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.31%E -2.56%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.18%E -2.83%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.16%E -1.41%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.45%E -2.01%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:04
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.87%E -2.92%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 20:04
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.02%E -1.80%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.44%E -3.28%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 19:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:08
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.01%E -3.64%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.58%E -4.01%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.47%E -3.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -7.15%E -4.39%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -7.90%E -3.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 19:52
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.72%E -4.77%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.31%E -2.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 17:59
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -8.29%E -5.15%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -7.04%E -3.26%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 18:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%-0.1%2026-08-23 20:10
ProphetX◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-08-23 19:39
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-23 20:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-23 20:14
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-23 18:05
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-23 18:44
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-23 20:14
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-08-23 20:14