Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-08-26 01:40 UTC

Finale: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–4 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Casa)

Previsione 50.02%2.00quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -0.738%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%49.96%50.00%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.921.911.9754.35%52.06%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.98%2.00quota equa
EV -1.05%
Vantaggio -0.529%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.49%50.04%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.901.901.9855.56%52.65%52.63%50.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arizona Diamondbacks (Casa): 50.02%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 49.98%. Per Chicago Cubs (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.00. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.98, con un valore atteso del -1.05%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%EV -1.45%E -0.738%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-26 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.45%E -0.738%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -1.45%E -0.738%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 00:03
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.05%E -1.04%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 01:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:24
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:24
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:29
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.95%E -0.997%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:29
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.55%E -0.785%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-25 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.31%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-25 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.04%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.04%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 01:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.05%E -0.529%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 23:29
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.95%E -1.52%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.55%E -0.785%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-26 01:27
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.45%E -1.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 01:35
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.04%E -4.37%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.04%E -4.37%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.55%E -1.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 01:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 00:04
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:44
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:43
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 22:44
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 00:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-25 04:29
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 01:24
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 01:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.55%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 22:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.46%E -2.89%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.04%E -3.22%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 01:34
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.04%E -2.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 23:14
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.96%E -4.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.04%E -3.79%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-26 01:27
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.25%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.75%-0.5%2026-08-26 01:35
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-08-26 01:29
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-26 01:35
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-08-26 01:24
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-25 22:44
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-26 00:44
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-08-26 01:35