Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-08-26 19:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–0 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 47.99%2.08odd justa
EV -0.668%
Vantagem -0.323%
Kelly -0.624%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.75%47.99%47.78%49.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.991.992.0752.91%50.27%50.25%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 52.01%1.92odd justa
EV +0.386%
Vantagem +0.200%
Kelly +0.415%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.26%52.01%52.22%53.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.841.831.9356.50%54.38%54.64%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 47.99%; Chicago Cubs (Visitante): 52.01%. Para Chicago Cubs (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.93, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.386%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV +0.386%E +0.200%K +0.415%G +0.002%2.3%2026-08-26 19:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV +0.386%E +0.200%K +0.415%G +0.002%2.3%2026-08-26 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.654%E -0.343%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 19:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.17%E -0.618%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 19:25
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.69%E -0.897%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 19:24
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.11%E -1.03%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.69%E -0.897%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 19:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.21%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.21%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.21%E -1.18%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-26 18:49
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.15%E -0.557%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-26 18:34
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 17:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 18:40
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.74%E -1.46%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-26 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.15%E -0.557%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.26%E -1.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 19:19
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.668%E -0.323%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 19:24
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-26 19:24
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 18:32
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:49
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:55
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.95%E -3.03%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.30%E -2.33%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 19:40
theScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -0.668%E -0.323%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.07%E -1.52%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-26 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 19:39
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:44
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 19:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:34
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 19:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:39
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 18:39
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 19:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 19:40
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 18:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 19:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.34%E -2.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:49
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.63%E -0.794%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-26 19:29
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 19:14
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 18:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.03%E -2.01%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 18:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 19:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.47%E -2.77%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-26 17:44
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:34
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.83%E -4.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.38%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 19:39
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -9.31%E -4.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-26 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -6.91%E -3.56%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -7.94%E -4.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 19:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%0.2%2026-08-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-08-26 19:40
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-08-26 19:40
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-26 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-26 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-26 19:40
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-26 19:39
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-26 19:40
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-08-26 19:34
BetOpenly◎1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%4.5%2026-08-26 19:19