L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 49.20%2.03cote équitable
EV -0.613%
Avantage -0.303%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%49.12%49.20%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.961.952.0252.63%51.09%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.80%1.97cote équitable
EV -0.943%
Avantage -0.484%
Kelly -0.993%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.88%50.80%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.871.9555.56%53.59%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:14
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.613%E -0.303%K -0.601%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.55%E -4.15%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 00:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:15
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:15
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.05%E -4.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 00:15
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.56%E -4.76%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.60%E -0.798%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.56%E -4.76%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 19:55
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.09%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.96%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 00:30
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.45%E -0.748%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-03 00:35
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.58%E -1.30%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:25
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.96%E -1.02%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 22:50
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.02%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 01:25
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.53%E -3.55%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:24
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.07%E -1.56%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.56%E -4.76%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.45%E -0.748%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 22:24
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.45%E -0.748%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 22:19
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.45%E -0.748%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 22:20
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.943%E -0.484%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-03 00:25
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 22:05
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.48%E -1.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 23:44
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.48%E -1.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 22:05
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.99%E -2.11%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:24
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:15
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 22:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.06%E -2.08%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.99%E -2.11%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:05
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.50%E -2.39%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:05
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.48%E -1.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 01:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.39%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 22:05
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.39%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 22:05
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.39%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:35
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 01:29
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.53%E -2.88%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.52%E -2.97%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 22:04
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:05
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 22:04
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.99%E -2.11%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 01:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.01%E -2.68%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 22:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.02%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.02%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:05
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.02%E -3.26%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:12
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.83%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.52%E -3.43%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.53%E -3.55%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 22:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-04-03 01:35
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-03 01:35
ProphetX2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-03 01:35
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-03 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-04-03 01:35
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-02 23:15
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-03 01:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-04-03 01:35
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%2.5%2026-04-03 00:35