语言:简体中文
Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Western Bulldogs (主队)
预测 60.36%1.66公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -3.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
59.19%60.71%60.35%63.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.21%63.90%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
Collingwood Magpies (客队)
预测 39.64%2.52公平赔率
EV +3.08%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.92%
增长率 +0.059%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
36.12%39.29%39.65%40.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.392.402.6045.45%41.90%41.75%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Western Bulldogs (主队)：60.36%；Collingwood Magpies (客队)：39.64%。 对于“Collingwood Magpies (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.60，对应+3.08%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -11.28%E -7.67%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +3.08%E +1.18%K +1.92%G +0.059% | 6.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -0.889%E -0.356%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.889%E -0.356%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -0.889%E -0.356%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -1.68%E -0.678%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.87%E -1.17%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 09:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 05:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.85%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.25%E -2.20%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.66%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.65%E -2.37%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.04%E -2.55%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.43%E -2.14%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.84%E -2.91%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.64%E -2.94%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.82%E -3.83%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 04:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.80%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.80%E -4.80%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -11.28%E -7.67%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.78%E -5.81%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-30 08:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 09:30 |