语言:简体中文
St Kilda Saints v Western Bulldogs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
St Kilda Saints (主队)
预测 52.16%1.92公平赔率
EV -3.51%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -4.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.85
博彩公司预测分布
51.32%52.16%52.25%53.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.801.821.8559.52%55.45%54.95%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
Western Bulldogs (客队)
预测 47.84%2.09公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.937%
Kelly -1.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.05
博彩公司预测分布
46.34%47.84%47.75%48.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.971.952.0554.64%50.80%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：St Kilda Saints (主队)：52.16%；Western Bulldogs (客队)：47.84%。 对于“Western Bulldogs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.05，期望值为-1.92%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.51%E -1.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.36%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 05:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 00:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 07:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.07%E -2.79%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 04:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 05:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 05:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.10%E -4.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 04:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.92%E -0.937%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 03:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.31%E -2.16%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -7.68%E -4.34%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -6.23%E -3.18%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-21 03:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 00:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.73%E -4.99%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-21 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -10.29%E -5.98%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -6.71%E -3.44%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -12.38%E -7.37%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -12.45%E -6.80%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-21 05:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-06-21 05:10 |