语言:简体中文
North Melbourne Kangaroos v Port Adelaide Power
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
North Melbourne Kangaroos (主队)
预测 44.09%2.27公平赔率
EV +3.61%
优势 +1.54%
Kelly +2.67%
增长率 +0.097%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
40.26%44.01%43.95%47.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.152.152.3551.28%46.56%46.51%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Port Adelaide Power (客队)
预测 55.91%1.79公平赔率
EV +1.76%
优势 +0.965%
Kelly +2.14%
增长率 +0.038%
假设最高赔率为 1.82
博彩公司预测分布
52.60%55.99%56.05%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.681.681.8265.36%59.56%59.52%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：North Melbourne Kangaroos (主队)：44.09%；Port Adelaide Power (客队)：55.91%。 对于“North Melbourne Kangaroos (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.27。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.35，对应+3.61%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +3.61%E +1.54%K +2.67%G +0.097% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -9.98%E -6.20%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.41%E +0.611%K +1.08%G +0.015% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.41%E +0.611%K +1.08%G +0.015% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.43%E -5.82%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 23:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +1.41%E +0.611%K +1.08%G +0.015% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -13.34%E -8.61%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.798%E -0.355%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.98%E -6.20%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.798%E -0.355%K -0.639%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.98%E -6.20%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 23:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.00%E -1.36%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.63%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.88%E -1.78%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.07%E -3.61%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.21%E -2.42%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.63%E -3.97%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.28%E -1.89%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 01:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.41%E -3.53%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.83%E -2.23%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.95%E -2.91%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.75%E -4.70%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -9.62%E -4.69%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -14.46%E -9.45%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -10.94%E -5.42%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +1.76%E +0.965%K +2.14%G +0.038% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.82%E -5.91%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.639%E +0.355%K +0.798%G +0.005% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 01:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -14.03%E -7.19%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -2.16%E -1.23%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 01:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 02:05 |