赔率学院

Hawthorn Hawks v Western Bulldogs

开赛时间: 2026-04-11 09:36 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (主队)

预测 57.45%1.74公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -2.43%
Kelly -6.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.00%58.09%57.43%62.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.531.631.631.6765.36%61.51%61.35%59.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

Western Bulldogs (客队)

预测 42.55%2.35公平赔率
EV +8.09%
优势 +3.18%
Kelly +5.25%
增长率 +0.425%

假设最高赔率为 2.54

博彩公司预测分布
37.59%41.91%42.57%44.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.072.232.202.5448.31%44.75%45.45%39.37%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -12.11%E -7.91%K -22.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV +8.09%E +3.18%K +5.25%G +0.425%4.7%2026-04-11 09:34
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +4.26%E +1.74%K +2.94%G +0.125%4.9%2026-04-11 09:35
PlayUp1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.51%E -4.67%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.28%E +0.537%K +0.925%G +0.012%4.1%2026-04-11 09:34
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.09%E -5.05%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 09:34
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.09%E -5.05%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 09:34
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 09:34
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.25%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 09:34
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.25%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 09:35
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.25%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 09:35
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 09:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:34
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:34
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 09:34
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 09:34
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 09:34
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 09:35
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.09%E -5.05%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 09:24
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.23%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 09:35
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.23%E -3.32%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 09:34
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 09:35
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 09:34
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 09:33
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 09:34
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.11%E -7.91%K -22.84%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.91%E -5.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 09:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-11 09:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-11 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-11 09:35

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.06%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.02%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.2%2026-04-11 09:35