赔率学院

Hawthorn Hawks v Sydney Swans

开赛时间: 2026-03-19 08:32 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Hawthorn Hawks (主队)

预测 71.22%1.40公平赔率
EV -1.71%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -4.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
69.16%71.27%71.11%72.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.251.321.331.3880.00%75.53%75.19%72.46%MIN均值中位数MAX

Sydney Swans (客队)

预测 28.78%3.47公平赔率
EV +0.721%
优势 +0.206%
Kelly +0.288%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.23%28.73%28.89%30.84%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.54%30.30%28.57%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.70%E -5.11%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.721%E +0.206%K +0.288%G +0.002%4.9%2026-03-19 08:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.718%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.718%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 08:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.718%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 08:30
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -0.718%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 08:30
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.16%E -0.634%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 08:30
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.16%E -0.634%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 08:29
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.55%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -3.31%E -0.984%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 08:29
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 08:30
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 08:30
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 08:30
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 08:30
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -8.84%E -6.90%K -31.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.03%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 08:17
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 08:29
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.99%E -4.54%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 08:30
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 08:30
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.85%E -2.85%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 08:29
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.27%E -3.97%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 08:30
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.41%E -5.70%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 08:30
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.71%E -1.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 08:30
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.43%E -1.77%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.79%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 08:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.14%E -2.31%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -10.97%E -8.78%K -43.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-19 08:17
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-03-19 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-03-19 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-03-19 08:30

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.4%2026-03-19 08:30
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 67.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92%8.4%2026-03-19 08:30