語言:繁體中文
Hawthorn Hawks v Port Adelaide Power
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Hawthorn Hawks (主隊)
預測 85.43%1.17公平賠率
EV -4.32%
優勢 -3.86%
Kelly -36.03%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.12
博彩公司預測分布
81.36%85.46%85.41%87.76%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.031.101.101.1297.09%90.91%90.91%89.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Port Adelaide Power (客隊)
預測 14.57%6.86公平賠率
EV +10.76%
優勢 +1.42%
Kelly +1.63%
成長率 +0.176%
假設最高賠率為 7.60
博彩公司預測分布
12.24%14.54%14.59%18.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.806.426.507.6020.83%15.58%15.38%13.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Hawthorn Hawks (主隊)：85.43%；Port Adelaide Power (客隊)：14.57%。 對於「Port Adelaide Power (客隊)」，該估計相當於6.86的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為7.60，對應+10.76%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.76%EV -9.45%E -8.91%K -157.48%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.24%EV +10.76%E +1.42%K +1.63%G +0.176% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 05:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-18 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 02:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 02:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 02:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.59%E -8.03%K -122.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +2.02%E +0.289%K +0.337%G +0.007% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 02:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 05:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.27%E -0.810%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.32%E -3.86%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.72%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.91%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -8.91%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 02:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.32%E -3.86%K -36.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.55%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.55%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 03:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.55%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 01:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.55%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 01:48 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -12.01%E -11.66%K -400.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -12.55%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 04:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -24.21%E -4.66%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -5.18%E -4.66%K -47.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -24.21%E -4.66%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 05:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.36%EV -6.03%E -5.48%K -60.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -30.04%E -6.26%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 06:00 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 06:10 |