預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Gold Coast Suns v Hawthorn Hawks

開賽時間: 2026-06-19 09:40 UTC

最終賽果: Gold Coast Suns 97–113 Hawthorn Hawks

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Gold Coast Suns (主隊)

預測 42.75%2.34公平賠率
EV +0.471%
優勢 +0.201%
Kelly +0.349%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 2.35

博彩公司預測分布
40.51%43.08%42.68%45.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.002.192.192.3550.00%45.71%45.66%42.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Hawthorn Hawks (客隊)

預測 57.25%1.75公平賠率
EV -0.391%
優勢 -0.225%
Kelly -0.529%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.74

博彩公司預測分布
54.05%56.92%57.32%59.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.531.651.651.7465.36%60.55%60.61%57.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Gold Coast Suns (主隊):42.75%;Hawthorn Hawks (客隊):57.25%。 對於「Gold Coast Suns (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.34的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.35,對應+0.471%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.471%E +0.201%K +0.349%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.471%E +0.201%K +0.349%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.471%E +0.201%K +0.349%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.67%E -0.725%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -1.67%E -0.725%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.69%E -4.10%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 09:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.67%E -0.725%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.38%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 09:30
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -3.38%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -7.83%E -4.87%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.80%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 09:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 09:30
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.41%E -5.25%K -14.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.80%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-19 06:00
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 07:50
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 07:50
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 22:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.40%E -2.63%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 22:30
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 07:20
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.35%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.391%E -0.225%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 15:20
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -12.35%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -12.35%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -3.83%E -2.28%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.74%EV -12.35%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.26%EV -12.41%E -8.11%K -23.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-19 09:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.49%E -7.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -14.49%E -7.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -6.12%E -3.73%K -9.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-19 09:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-19 09:30