语言:简体中文
Fremantle Dockers v Adelaide Crows
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fremantle Dockers (主队)
预测 74.30%1.35公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -2.62%
Kelly -11.36%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.30
博彩公司预测分布
72.22%74.30%74.27%76.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.181.271.271.3084.75%78.86%78.74%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adelaide Crows (客队)
预测 25.70%3.89公平赔率
EV +2.79%
优势 +0.698%
Kelly +0.931%
增长率 +0.026%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.81%25.70%25.73%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.653.674.0030.77%27.38%27.25%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fremantle Dockers (主队)：74.30%；Adelaide Crows (客队)：25.70%。 对于“Adelaide Crows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+2.79%的正期望值。
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.79%E +0.698%K +0.931%G +0.026% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 10:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.79%E +0.698%K +0.931%G +0.026% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -8.61%E -7.00%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.35%E -0.617%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.63%E -0.968%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 09:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.69%E -1.55%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 09:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 05:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 05:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.89%E -3.82%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 09:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 16:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 22:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 22:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.24%EV -12.32%E -10.44%K -68.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.91%E -4.15%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -16.48%E -5.07%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10% | 100.00I 1.00%NM 0.92% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04% | 80.00I 1.25%NM 1.15% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |