La scuola delle quote

Essendon Bombers v North Melbourne Kangaroos

Inizio: 2026-03-28 08:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Essendon Bombers (Casa)

Previsione 34.63%2.89quota equa
EV +0.426%
Vantaggio +0.147%
Kelly +0.224%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.92%34.73%34.46%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.692.702.9041.67%37.17%37.04%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

North Melbourne Kangaroos (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.37%1.53quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%65.27%65.54%68.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.441.441.5073.53%69.54%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +0.426%E +0.147%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.55%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 23:55
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV +0.426%E +0.147%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -11.10%E -8.16%K -30.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.31%E -0.458%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:55
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.31%E -0.458%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:55
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.31%E -0.458%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 02:00
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:24
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 03:54
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 00:54
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-28 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:14
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:15
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:14
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:14
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:30
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.91%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 20:00
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:55
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-27 17:14
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -6.85%E -2.55%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-28 03:00
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.94%E -1.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 11:44
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 03:10
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.94%E -1.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 02:09
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 02:14
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -13.43%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -11.10%E -8.16%K -30.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-27 19:29
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -15.16%E -6.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 07:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -15.16%E -6.19%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -5.21%E -3.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-27 07:40
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -16.89%E -7.04%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -16.89%E -7.04%K -12.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 20:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-28 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-03-28 02:55