預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Collingwood Magpies v Richmond Tigers

開賽時間: 2026-06-27 06:16 UTC

最終賽果: Collingwood Magpies 106–72 Richmond Tigers

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Collingwood Magpies (主隊)

預測 85.63%1.17公平賠率
EV -4.10%
優勢 -3.66%
Kelly -34.15%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.12

博彩公司預測分布
83.33%85.69%85.44%87.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.031.101.101.1297.09%90.94%90.91%89.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Richmond Tigers (客隊)

預測 14.37%6.96公平賠率
EV +6.36%
優勢 +0.860%
Kelly +0.994%
成長率 +0.063%

假設最高賠率為 7.40

博彩公司預測分布
12.53%14.31%14.56%16.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.406.406.457.4018.52%15.62%15.50%13.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Collingwood Magpies (主隊):85.63%;Richmond Tigers (客隊):14.37%。 對於「Richmond Tigers (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.96的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.40,對應+6.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -9.24%E -8.71%K -153.92%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV +6.36%E +0.860%K +0.994%G +0.063%7.9%2026-06-27 06:09
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-27 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-27 05:49
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-26 05:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%5.2%2026-06-25 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.67%E -6.12%K -74.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%6.0%2026-06-27 06:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.38%E -7.83%K -119.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +0.611%E +0.087%K +0.102%G +0.001%7.7%2026-06-26 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.98%E -0.442%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.98%E -0.442%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.58%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.58%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 22:19
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.58%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.58%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 22:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.58%E -1.01%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 06:09
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.10%E -3.66%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -8.01%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-27 06:09
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.10%E -3.66%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.17%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 06:09
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.17%E -1.63%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 05:59
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.64%EV -4.10%E -3.66%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -11.32%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-27 04:20
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.10%E -3.66%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 05:59
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.10%E -3.66%K -34.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 06:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:39
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 22:30
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.81%E -5.28%K -58.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 14:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -11.80%E -11.46%K -393.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -13.76%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 06:09
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -4.95%E -4.46%K -45.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -16.64%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-27 02:59
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -6.12%K -74.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -16.64%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.67%E -6.12%K -74.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -16.64%E -2.87%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33%EV -7.52%E -6.97%K -94.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67%EV -22.39%E -4.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-27 06:09
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-06-27 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-27 06:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-06-27 06:10