La scuola delle quote

Carlton Blues v Melbourne Demons

Inizio: 2026-03-29 04:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carlton Blues (Casa)

Previsione 49.43%2.02quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.572%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.39%49.38%51.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.911.902.0056.18%52.43%52.63%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne Demons (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.57%1.98quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.710%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%50.61%50.62%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.841.851.9558.14%54.23%54.05%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 06:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.14%E -0.572%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.13%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 09:49
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -2.13%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 09:49
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 22:00
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 19:14
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 19:14
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 19:15
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 07:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 19:05
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 01:50
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 08:05
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 02:25
Coral1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:28
Ladbrokes (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-26 23:29
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.98%E -5.61%K -12.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.98%E -5.61%K -12.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:29
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.38%E -0.710%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 03:49
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 03:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 05:34
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 01:40
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 12:44
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.45%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.55%EV -13.02%E -7.57%K -18.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-27 05:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.45%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.55%EV -13.02%E -7.57%K -18.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-27 05:30
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -12.02%E -6.75%K -15.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.71%EV -12.51%E -7.23%K -17.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-27 02:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%0.1%2026-03-28 02:40